December Visa Bulletin: Announcements and Projections EB-2 India, EB-2 and EB-3 China, F-2A, and F-2B

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The December visa bulletin was recently released by the DOS on November 9, 2015. For the month of December CIS has announced that family based applicants must use the ‘date of filing’ chart to determine when their adjustment of status applications may be filed. This means that for family based preference categories, there are presently immigrant visas available and demand has not yet been met for the fiscal year. Employment based applicants must refer to the ‘final action date’ chart as a basis for applying for adjustment of status. This means that presently there is more demand than immigrant visas available for employment based categories. For the month of December, filing dates have remained unchanged. The impact of the dual chart system will not be felt until CIS requests visa numbers from the DOS in April 2016 for adjustment of status filings based on the October Visa Bulletin. In this post we will discuss new announcements that have appeared on the December visa bulletin and projections for EB-2 India, EB-2 and EB-3 China, F-2A, and F-2B. These projections are based on guidance provided by the Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division, Charles Oppenheim. While they do not guarantee actual immigrant visa availability, these projections are helpful reference points.

Replacement of Foreign Affairs Manual (FAM) and New Visa Waiting List

The December visa bulletin has announced that the Foreign Affairs Manual (FAM) used internally by the Department of States will be replaced with 9 FAM-e beginning November 18, 2015. Public release of the new FAM has not yet been announced.

Additionally, a ‘Visa Waiting List’ will be released beginning with the January Visa Bulletin which will provide applicants information on the National Visa Center waiting list starting November 1, 2015.

Employment based projections

EB-2 India: For the month of December it has been projected that final action dates will advance ten months for the EB-2 India category to June 1, 2007. Charles Oppenheim of the Department of State suggests that the EB-2 India category will advance by as much as eight months over the next couple of months, with an average projected advancement of four to six months. Oppenheim suggests that if the movement results in EB-3 upgrades this will cause an increase in demand and a retrogression of the final action dates for this category in early 2016.

EB-2 and EB-3 China: Charles Oppenheim predicts that the final action date chart will remain the same for the month of December. Based on trends that have occurred within this category during the past two years, Charles Oppenheim projects that some EB-2 China cases may downgrade to EB-3 to relieve demand from the EB-2 China category. This will result in higher demand for EB-3 slowing or retrogressing the category while EB-2 China is expected to advance.

Family based projections

During the past year the F-2A and F-2B categories were advancing quickly because there was a modest demand for immigrant visas. At this point demand for both F-2A and F-2B categories is reaching its limit. According to the DOS continued advancement will be seen in these categories until demand materializes. The response rate for family based preference categories has normally been low which accounts for the advancement in these categories.

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